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Norfolk Naval Station will flood roughly 280 times a year by 2050 instead of the current 10, if sea level rise reaches the midrange of predictions.
Right now, "a good thunderstorm can leave them not operating on all cylinders," said Ray Toll, a retired Navy captain who works with a sea level rise initiative at Old Dominion University.
Her job includes advising leaders on policy responses to sea-level change. “They have not always wanted to talk about climate change, but they’re ready to talk about this,” says Jones.
During the past four decades, Virginia’s coastal waters have been inching inland.
Forecasting is further complicated by local features, which put some coasts at greater peril.
“We’re near the top of the list for regions at risk,” notes W&M’s Jones.
In that time, the sea has risen roughly 4.5 millimeters a year. In the mid-1980s, sea-level rise began accelerating, according to the Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS), a sister organization to the VCPC.
Beaches have been battered in the Sandbridge area, she notes.Bobby Scott, a Southeast Virginia Democrat who voted against the ban.Exactly how far underwater depends on a range of factors, says the report, which paints scenarios similar to those predicted in studies conducted by the Army Corps of Engineers and others.Dam Neck built a one-mile rock-core dune to protect the main part of the installation from storm surge.Langley Air Force Base built a shoreline seawall and door dams, and installed a pump system. Ken Buck sponsored one of the amendments that would put a halt to such preparations.
"When we distract our military with a radical climate change agenda, we detract from their main purpose of defending America from enemies like ISIS," Buck said in a statement on his website.